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Earth Orbit

LEO & GEO · the near shore · Δv 9.4 km/s to orbit

The only regime with an ambulance. Everything else on this site inherits its constraints from distance; Earth orbit inherits almost none, which is why the industrial economy starts here and why the hard problems look easy until you leave. The near shore is where the cost of being wrong is survivable.

Δv to LEO
9.4 km/s
Light time
0.1 s
Presence
Crewed
Power
Solar, continuous
Water
Imported
Confidence
Observed

Why here

The regime that behaves like Earth.

Earth orbit is the one place off the surface where a failed system is an inconvenience rather than a death. Resupply is days, not years. A crew can come home in hours. The radiation dose below the inner belt is a fraction of what it is anywhere past the magnetosphere. Every constraint that defines the rest of the solar system is here reduced to a manageable number.

Which is exactly why it is first, and why it is misleading. The station era, the orbital-manufacturing pitch, the compute-in-orbit thesis all close here on economics that do not survive being moved outward. The value of this regime is that it is forgiving. The danger is reading that forgiveness as general.

Envelope

What bounds it.

The constraint fingerprint — the parameters that are fixed, time-invariant, and must be designed around rather than defended against. Each is paired with the consequence it forces.

Constraint fingerprint
ParameterValueConsequence
Transport Δv9.4 km/s from surfaceSets launch cost; the one number the whole economy hangs on
PowerSolar, near-continuousNo storage penalty in sunlit orbits
Light timeSub-secondReal-time control from the ground; no autonomy required
Local resourceNoneEverything is imported; there is no ISRU case in LEO
ThermalManaged by attitudeRadiators sized against sunlight, not against distance

Hazards

What damages it.

Hazards are not constraints. A constraint bounds what is possible; a hazard accumulates, has a return period, and is defended against. Kept in a separate table on purpose — the distinction is the point.

Hazard fingerprint
HazardCharacterDefence
Orbital debrisCumulative, worseningShielding and collision-avoidance; the one hazard that grows with use
Trapped radiationBounded below the beltAltitude selection; the inner belt sets a soft ceiling on LEO
Atomic oxygenContinuous in LEOMaterial selection; erodes polymers and coatings
Congestion & slotsRegulatory, risingCoordination, not engineering; the crowded regime

Four readings

The same place, four questions.

Each of the four topologies asks a different question of the same body. A destination that looks marginal under one can look essential under another, which is the reason the maps are kept separate.

Reading 01 — Energy

Cheapest regime to power. Continuous sunlight, no storage penalty, no distance loss.

Reading 02 — Industrial

The demand centre, not the supply. Everything flows in; finished high-value goods flow out.

Reading 03 — Constraint

Almost none. Sub-second light time, days to resupply, hours to return.

Reading 04 — Hazard

Debris is the exception — the one hazard that accumulates with the regime’s own success.

Matter inventory

What is actually here.

Earth orbit produces nothing and imports everything. That is not a deficiency of the regime, it is its definition: the near shore is a market for launched mass, and the entire industrial argument is about driving the cost of that mass down until orbital production of specific high-value goods — fibre, crystals, pharmaceuticals — beats making them on the ground and lifting them. The matter question here is a cost question, not a geology question.

Corridors

Where it connects.

The edges into and out of this node, with the Δv and status each carries. Full detail on the corridors page.

Primary corridors
CorridorΔvCarriesStatus
LEO → GEO3.9 km/sThe reference commercial corridorFlown
LEO → EML-13.8 km/sThe gateway to everywhere elseFlown
Surface → LEO9.4 km/sThe launch leg every other corridor sits on top ofFlown

Contested

Deliberately Not Claimed

The load-bearing uncertainties, stated as uncertainties. Each is tagged with the confidence it actually earns rather than the confidence the argument would prefer.

Building

Orbital manufacturing at scale is unproven. Microgravity production of fibre and crystals works at demonstration scale. Whether it closes as an industry depends on launch cost continuing to fall, and on downmass capacity that does not yet exist in volume.

Projected

Orbital compute economics are a launch-cost bet. The pitch — free cooling, no permitting, continuous power — is real, but it is denominated entirely in dollars per kilogram to orbit. If that number stops falling, the case does not close.

Record

Provenance.

Presence
Crewed, continuous since 2000
Anchor regimes
LEO, GEO, and the belts between
Sources
The Orbital Economy; The Free-Fall Regimes
Reviewed
Q3 2026