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Launch Windows & Cadence

Synodic period · transfer time · light time · status Q4 2026

A window opens once per synodic period, when Earth and the destination line up for a minimum-energy transfer. Mars gets one every 26 months, Ceres every 15, Callisto every 13, and the Moon is open continuously.

Moon
Continuous
Mars
26 mo
Ceres
15 mo
Callisto
13 mo
Titan
12.4 mo
Next Mars window
Oct-Dec 2026

Windows

One Window per Synodic Period

A minimum-energy window opens when Earth and the destination line up, once per synodic period: the time Earth takes to lap the destination, or be lapped by it.

For Mars that is 26 months. For the outer planets it approaches one year, because they barely move while Earth goes round; the constraint there is transfer time, not window spacing.

The Moon orbits Earth, so departures are possible every day. Spending more Δv widens each window and shortens the transfer.

By destination

Windows, Transfer Time and Light Time

Minimum-energy (Hohmann) transfer time unless a flown gravity-assist route is named.

Launch windows by destination
DestinationWindow everyMinimum-energy transferLight time, one wayWindows per decadeRated
MoonContinuous3-5 days1.3 sContinuousObserved
Mercury3.8 months3.5 months; 7 years by gravity assist (BepiColombo)5-12 min32Observed
Venus19 months4.8 months2-14 min6Observed
Mars26 months8.5 months3-22 min4-5Observed
Ceres15 months15.5 months15-31 min8Observed
Jupiter, Callisto13 months2.7 years33-53 min9Observed
Saturn, Titan12.4 months6.1 years67-92 min10Observed
Neptune, Triton12.1 months31 years; 12 by Jupiter assist (Voyager 2)About 4 h10Observed
Pluto12.0 months45 years; 9.5 flown by New Horizons4-7 h10Observed

Gravity assists from Jupiter cut outer-planet transfers to about a decade but need Jupiter in the right place: Voyager 2's tour past Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune used an alignment that recurs about every 175 years.

Mars

The Next Four Mars Windows

Departure dates are approximate; each window lasts about two months.

Mars windows, 2026-2033
WindowDepartureMissionsRated
2026October-December 2026NASA ESCAPADE, launched on New Glenn in November 2025Observed
2028-2029November 2028-January 2029CNSA Tianwen-3 sample return, two Long March 5 launches; ESA ExoMars Rosalind Franklin roverBuilding
2031February-April 2031Tianwen-3 samples leave Mars for EarthBuilding
2033April-June 2033The window most crewed Mars architectures targetProjected

Cadence

A Shipped Spare Can Be Years Away

The worst case for a part that fails just after a window closes: wait for the next window, then fly the transit.

Longest wait for a shipped replacement
DestinationWindow waitTransitWorst caseRated
MoonAbout 1 month3-5 daysAbout 1 monthModeled
Mars26 months6-9 monthsUp to 35 monthsModeled
Ceres15 months3-5 years by NEPUp to about 6 yearsModeled
Callisto13 months5-7 years by NEPUp to about 8 yearsModeled

The window wait is the figure the Ship-or-Make Threshold uses. At Mars and beyond, a site that cannot make a failed part locally waits years for one; that schedule case is what The Machine Shop MVP sizes against.

China

Chinese Missions on the Windows

Tianwen missions to Mars, an asteroid and Jupiter, and the cadence of the Chang'e program.

Chinese missions by window
MissionWindowData pointRated
Tianwen-1 · CNSAMars, July 2020Orbiter, lander and Zhurong rover in one launchObserved
Tianwen-2 · CNSAAsteroid Kamo'oalewa, May 2025Sample return, then on to comet 311PObserved
Tianwen-3 · CNSAMars, 2028Sample return; samples back around 2031Building
Tianwen-4 · CNSAJupiter, around 2029-2030Ends in orbit around CallistoProjected
Chang'e-7 · CNSAMoon, any monthLaunch postponed 24 August 2026; the lunar window does not constrain itBuilding

Contested

Deliberately Not Claimed

The load-bearing uncertainties, tagged with the confidence they actually earn.

Modeled

Faster transits cost Δv. A Starship-class vehicle refilled in orbit can reach Mars in four to six months by spending more Δv than the 4.90 km/s in the index; the window still opens every 26 months.

Modeled

NEP loosens windows but does not remove them. Low-thrust vehicles can depart off-window at a Δv penalty; the worst-case waits above assume launch on the window.

Record

Provenance and Data Sources

Confidence
Observed for flown, fielded or measured - Building for hardware and programs in development - Projected for announced plans - Modeled for original analysis
Status date
Q4 2026
Method
Synodic period from orbital periods; Hohmann transfer time from semi-major axes; light time at minimum and maximum Earth distance
Missions
NASA ESCAPADE; ESA ExoMars; ESA-JAXA BepiColombo; Voyager 2; New Horizons
China
CNSA Tianwen-1 to Tianwen-4; Chang'e-7 postponement (24 August 2026)
Weakest link
Transit times past Mars, which assume NEP