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Sci-Fi Universes

15 authors · 76 works · 51 concepts · status Q4 2026

The founders building the space industry read these books. Each universe here is read as engineering, concept by concept: what the physics allows, what the arithmetic closes, and what flies today.

Works
76
Concepts
51
Got it right
35
Got it wrong
19
Open
62
Confidence
Modeled

The universes

15 Universes Read as Engineering

One page per author. The works are rows on each page; verdicts are counted per link from a work to a concept.

Many of the people building the space industry learned what it might look like from these books. Each page reads one author's universe the way the destination pages read a destination: what the physics allows, what the arithmetic closes, and what flies today.

The 15 authors
AuthorWorksRight / wrong / openRated
Isaac AsimovI, Robot · Foundation · The Martian Way · 2 more0 / 1 / 5Modeled
Iain M. BanksConsider Phlebas · The Player of Games · Use of Weapons · 2 more0 / 4 / 6Modeled
Stephen BaxterRing · Voyage · Titan · 2 more2 / 0 / 4Modeled
Arthur C. ClarkeExtra-Terrestrial Relays · Electromagnetic Launching · 2001: A Space Odyssey · 3 more4 / 0 / 3Modeled
James S. A. CoreyLeviathan Wakes · Caliban's War · Abaddon's Gate · 1 more2 / 4 / 2Modeled
William GibsonNeuromancer · Count Zero · The Peripheral · 1 more1 / 0 / 5Modeled
Robert A. HeinleinWaldo · The Man Who Sold the Moon · Have Space Suit - Will Travel · 3 more4 / 0 / 3Modeled
Frank HerbertDune · Dune Messiah · Children of Dune · 4 more2 / 1 / 7Modeled
Liu CixinThe Wandering Earth · The Three-Body Problem · The Dark Forest · 1 more2 / 2 / 3Modeled
Larry NivenRingworld · The Ringworld Engineers · Tales of Known Space · 2 more2 / 3 / 1Modeled
Alastair ReynoldsRevelation Space · Chasm City · Redemption Ark · 4 more3 / 0 / 9Modeled
Kim Stanley RobinsonRed Mars · Green Mars · Blue Mars · 3 more3 / 2 / 6Modeled
Neal StephensonSnow Crash · The Diamond Age · Anathem · 3 more3 / 0 / 4Modeled
Andy WeirThe Martian · Artemis · Project Hail Mary5 / 2 / 0Modeled
Robert Charles WilsonBios · Spin · Axis2 / 0 / 4Modeled

The graph

Works, Concepts and Where They Land

Works on the left, concepts in the middle, site pages on the right. Filter by author, verdict or concept.

Author
Verdict
Concept

Showing 116 of 116 work-to-concept links

● Work ● Concept ■ Site page ─ Got it right ─ Got it wrong ─ Open
Click a work, concept or page to trace its links. Clear filters and selection, the background, or Escape resets the view.

A link from a concept to a page carries the verdict all its works share, or Open where authors disagree.

Concepts

51 Concepts and Their Verdicts

Every concept on the graph, with each author's verdict and the page that carries it.

Concepts by verdict
ConceptAuthors and verdictsMaps toRated
Asteroid terrariaRobinson OpenThe Asteroid BeltModeled
Belter societyCorey Open · Niven OpenSettlementsModeled
Bussard ramjetNiven Got it wrongPropulsion ClassesModeled
Ceres as water hubCorey Got it rightThe Asteroid BeltModeled
Civilizational memoryAsimov Open · Banks Open · Stephenson Open-Modeled
Closed-loop waterHerbert Got it rightHabitats & Life SupportObserved
Cognitive augmentationBanks Open · Herbert Open · Reynolds Open · Robinson OpenThe Human LayerBuilding
Comet ice miningReynolds Got it rightThe Asteroid BeltModeled
Debris cascadeStephenson Got it rightEarth OrbitObserved
Electric propulsionWeir Got it rightPropulsion ClassesObserved
Faster-than-light travelAsimov Got it wrong · Banks Got it wrong · Corey Got it wrong · Herbert Got it wrong · Liu Got it wrongInterstellarModeled
Fermi silenceBaxter Open · Liu Open · Reynolds Open · Wilson OpenInterstellarModeled
Founder-led spaceflightBaxter Got it right · Heinlein Got it rightStarshipObserved
Fusion torch driveCorey Got it wrong · Weir Got it wrongPropulsion ClassesModeled
Generation shipRobinson Got it rightInterstellarModeled
Geostationary relayClarke Got it rightComms & PNTObserved
Hostile alien biologyClarke Got it right · Wilson Got it right-Observed
Jovian moon baseCorey Got it wrongJovian SystemModeled
Kinetic bombardmentCorey Got it right · Heinlein Got it rightThe MoonModeled
Kuiper Belt civilizationRobinson Open · Wilson OpenPluto & the EdgeModeled
Light-speed limitReynolds Got it right · Weir Got it rightInterstellarObserved
Lunar mass driverClarke Open · Heinlein OpenThe MoonModeled
Machine mindsAsimov Open · Banks Open · Clarke Open · Gibson Open · Heinlein Open · Herbert OpenAutonomyBuilding
Mars dust stormsWeir Got it wrongMarsObserved
Mass as radiation shieldStephenson Got it rightRadiation & Human HealthObserved
MegastructureBanks Got it wrong · Baxter Open · Niven Got it wrongInterstellarModeled
Mercury terminator cityRobinson Got it rightMercuryModeled
Mind uploadingReynolds Open · Stephenson Open-Modeled
Molecular assemblyReynolds Open · Stephenson OpenManufacturingModeled
Moving a planetLiu Got it wrong-Modeled
No-rescue survivalWeir Got it rightHabitats & Life SupportModeled
Non-rocket launchStephenson OpenThe MoonModeled
Nuclear pulse and sailsLiu Got it right · Niven Got it rightPropulsion ClassesModeled
Nuclear thermal rocketBaxter Got it rightSpace NuclearObserved
Off-world sovereigntyGibson Open · Heinlein Open · Robinson Open-Modeled
Orbital habitatGibson Open · Reynolds Open · Stephenson Got it rightHabitats & Life SupportObserved
Planetary defenseNiven Got it right-Observed
Plutonium-238 powerWeir Got it rightSpace NuclearObserved
Post-scarcityBanks Open-Modeled
Radio search for lifeLiu Got it right-Observed
Regolith smeltingWeir Got it rightThe MoonBuilding
Saturn ring iceAsimov Open · Corey OpenSaturnian SystemModeled
Self-replicating machinesBaxter Open · Reynolds Open · Wilson OpenManufacturingModeled
Shelter behind gas giantsLiu OpenJovian SystemModeled
Single-commodity economyHerbert Got it right-Modeled
Space elevatorClarke Open · Liu Open · Robinson OpenMarsModeled
Spin gravityClarke Got it right · Corey Got it wrongHabitats & Life SupportModeled
Suits and armorHeinlein Got it rightSpace SuitsObserved
TelepresenceGibson Got it right · Heinlein Got it rightAutonomyObserved
TerraformingHerbert Open · Robinson Got it wrong · Wilson Got it rightMarsModeled
Titan settlementBaxter Open · Robinson Got it rightSaturnian SystemModeled

Who reads it

The Founders Read These Books

The fiction was directional; the engineering is on the pages it links to.

The space industry names its hardware after its reading. SpaceX lands boosters on ships named by Iain M. Banks, Amazon funds the television of James S. A. Corey, and China's first compute constellation carries the title of Liu Cixin's trilogy. Founders read for direction, and this cross-reference checks the direction against the arithmetic.

Founders and the fiction they cite
FounderReadsEchoRated
Elon Musk · SpaceX, Tesla, xAIBanks, Asimov, Adams, HeinleinDroneships named for Culture ships; Foundation disc and "Don't Panic" on the 2018 Falcon Heavy Roadster; Grok from Stranger in a Strange LandObserved
Jeff Bezos · Blue Origin, AmazonStar Trek, O'Neill, Corey, BanksAmazon revived The Expanse in 2018 and optioned Consider Phlebas the same yearObserved
Mark Zuckerberg · MetaLiu, StephensonThe Three-Body Problem as a 2015 book-club pick; Facebook renamed Meta in 2021 after the Snow Crash MetaverseObserved
Palmer Luckey · Oculus, AndurilCard, StephensonHas cited Ender's Game and Snow Crash as the fiction behind his companiesObserved
Neal Stephenson · Blue OriginHimselfWorked at Blue Origin in its earliest years, into 2006Observed
ADA Space and Zhejiang LabLiuNamed China's first orbital compute constellation the Three-Body Computing Constellation, 2025Observed

Vernor Vinge, who popularized the technological singularity, Orson Scott Card, Richard K. Morgan, Peter Watts and Ben Bova are candidates for a second tier and have no author page yet.

China

Chinese Science Fiction and the Chinese Program

Liu Cixin is China's entry, and his page is the China page.

Liu Cixin wrote The Three-Body Problem while working as a computer engineer at the Niangziguan power plant in Shanxi, and it became the first translated novel to win the Hugo Award, in 2015. China's state backs the genre: the China Film Administration and the China Association for Science and Technology issued guidelines in August 2020 to build a science fiction film industry, and Chengdu hosted the 81st World Science Fiction Convention in 2023. The program and the fiction now share names - the Three-Body Computing Constellation launched in May 2025, and FAST, the 500-meter radio dish in Guizhou, runs the search for signals that opens Liu's trilogy.

Hao Jingfang won the 2016 Hugo for the novelette "Folding Beijing," and Chen Qiufan and Han Song extend the field. Each author page carries a China note where a Chinese program bears on the concept: Tianwen-4 to Callisto on the Corey page, Fengyun-1C debris on the Stephenson page, the Three-Body constellation on the Banks page.

Contested

Deliberately Not Claimed

The load-bearing uncertainties, tagged with the confidence they actually earn.

Modeled

Got it right is not a forecast. A verdict says the engineering holds. It does not say the thing will be built, or when.

Modeled

Verdicts are editorial judgments. Each one rests on the arithmetic shown on the author page and the analysis on this site; where a novel and the analysis disagree, the page says why.

Modeled

15 authors is a selection. The set favors hard science fiction about the solar system. Absent authors are absent for scope, not for merit.

Record

Provenance and Data Sources

Confidence
Observed where the real technology exists - Building for hardware in development - Projected for announced plans - Modeled for editorial judgments
Verdicts
Got it right the engineering holds - Got it wrong physics or data rule it out - Open not settled by anything flown or measured
Status date
Q4 2026
Sources
The novels themselves, paraphrased; mission and program records from NASA, ESA, CNSA and CMSA
Data
One JavaScript array on this page holds every author, work, concept, page and link; works, concepts and links map to three database tables
China
Liu Cixin; FAST; the Three-Body Computing Constellation; CNSA Tianwen missions
Weakest link
Verdicts on concepts no program has attempted